Guangdong Cellwise (China) Market Value

688325 Stock   52.78  0.40  0.75%   
Guangdong Cellwise's market value is the price at which a share of Guangdong Cellwise trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics investors about its performance. Guangdong Cellwise is trading at 52.78 as of the 26th of December 2024, a 0.75% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 53.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guangdong Cellwise over a given investment horizon. Check out Guangdong Cellwise Correlation, Guangdong Cellwise Volatility and Guangdong Cellwise Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guangdong Cellwise.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guangdong Cellwise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guangdong Cellwise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guangdong Cellwise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guangdong Cellwise 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guangdong Cellwise's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guangdong Cellwise.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guangdong Cellwise on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guangdong Cellwise over 30 days. Guangdong Cellwise is related to or competes with Ming Yang, Loctek Ergonomic, Yes Optoelectronics, Hunan Nanling, Guangdong Tianhe, Shandong Ruifeng, and Jiangsu Seagull. Guangdong Cellwise is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Guangdong Cellwise Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guangdong Cellwise's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guangdong Cellwise Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guangdong Cellwise's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guangdong Cellwise's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guangdong Cellwise historical prices to predict the future Guangdong Cellwise's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9455.5761.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.3649.9955.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.0756.7062.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.6951.3769.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangdong Cellwise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangdong Cellwise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangdong Cellwise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangdong Cellwise.

Guangdong Cellwise Backtested Returns

Guangdong Cellwise appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Guangdong Cellwise holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By evaluating Guangdong Cellwise's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.89% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Guangdong Cellwise's market risk adjusted performance of 2.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1546 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Guangdong Cellwise holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.37, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guangdong Cellwise's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guangdong Cellwise is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Guangdong Cellwise's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Guangdong Cellwise's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guangdong Cellwise time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guangdong Cellwise price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Guangdong Cellwise price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.86

Guangdong Cellwise lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guangdong Cellwise stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guangdong Cellwise's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guangdong Cellwise returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guangdong Cellwise has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Cellwise regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guangdong Cellwise stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guangdong Cellwise stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guangdong Cellwise stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Cellwise Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guangdong Cellwise's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guangdong Cellwise stock have on its future price. Guangdong Cellwise autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guangdong Cellwise autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guangdong Cellwise stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Cellwise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Cellwise security.