American Defense Systems Stock Market Value
| ADFS Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | American |
American Defense 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Defense's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Defense.
| 11/26/2025 |
| 12/26/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Defense on November 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Defense Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Defense over 30 days. American Defense Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design and supply of transparent and opaq... More
American Defense Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Defense's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Defense Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
American Defense Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Defense's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Defense's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Defense historical prices to predict the future American Defense's volatility.American Defense Systems Backtested Returns
American Defense is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. American Defense Systems secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for five different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.29% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use American Defense day median price of 1.0E-4, and Daily Balance Of Power of 9.2 T to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. American Defense holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and American Defense are completely uncorrelated. Use American Defense rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on American Defense.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
American Defense Systems has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Defense time series from 26th of November 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 26th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Defense Systems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current American Defense price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
American Defense Systems lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Defense pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Defense's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Defense returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Defense has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
American Defense regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Defense pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Defense pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Defense pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
American Defense Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Defense's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Defense pink sheet have on its future price. American Defense autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Defense autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Defense pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Defense Systems.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for American Pink Sheet Analysis
When running American Defense's price analysis, check to measure American Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Defense is operating at the current time. Most of American Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.