Archer Daniels Midland Stock Market Value
| ADM Stock | USD 69.50 0.20 0.29% |
| Symbol | Archer |
Will Agricultural Products & Services sector continue expanding? Could Archer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Archer Daniels data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share 2.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Understanding Archer Daniels Midland requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Archer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Archer Daniels' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Archer Daniels' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Archer Daniels' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Archer Daniels represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Archer Daniels' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Archer Daniels 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Archer Daniels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Archer Daniels.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Archer Daniels on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Archer Daniels Midland or generate 0.0% return on investment in Archer Daniels over 90 days. Archer Daniels is related to or competes with Bridgford Foods, Agape ATP, Genius, Wing Yip, Borealis Foods, CIMG, and Laird Superfood. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, produ... More
Archer Daniels Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Archer Daniels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Archer Daniels Midland upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1506 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 |
Archer Daniels Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Archer Daniels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Archer Daniels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Archer Daniels historical prices to predict the future Archer Daniels' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1674 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2795 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1747 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1521 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5917 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archer Daniels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Archer Daniels February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1674 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6017 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 500.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1506 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2795 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1747 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1521 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5917 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) | |||
| Skewness | (0.11) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7115 |
Archer Daniels Midland Backtested Returns
Archer Daniels appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Archer Daniels Midland secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Archer Daniels Midland, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Archer Daniels' mean deviation of 1.22, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1674 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Archer Daniels holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Archer Daniels' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Archer Daniels is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Archer Daniels' sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the information ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Archer Daniels' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
Archer Daniels Midland has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Archer Daniels time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Archer Daniels Midland price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Archer Daniels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.51 |
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Archer Daniels technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.