Adventure Box (Sweden) Market Value

ADVBOX Stock  SEK 0.19  0.01  5.00%   
Adventure Box's market value is the price at which a share of Adventure Box trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Adventure Box Technology investors about its performance. Adventure Box is trading at 0.19 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 5 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 0.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Adventure Box Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Adventure Box over a given investment horizon. Check out Adventure Box Correlation, Adventure Box Volatility and Adventure Box Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adventure Box.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Adventure Box's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adventure Box is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adventure Box's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Adventure Box 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adventure Box's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adventure Box.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Adventure Box on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adventure Box Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adventure Box over 30 days. Adventure Box is related to or competes with Idogen AB, Clean Motion, Arion Banki, KABE Group, IAR Systems, Mekonomen, and Embellence Group. Adventure Box Technology AB develops a platform that allows users to create, share, and play computer games online More

Adventure Box Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adventure Box's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adventure Box Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Adventure Box Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adventure Box's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adventure Box's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adventure Box historical prices to predict the future Adventure Box's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.196.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.196.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.146.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.250.30
Details

Adventure Box Technology Backtested Returns

Adventure Box Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0746, which signifies that the company had a -0.0746% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Adventure Box Technology exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adventure Box's Standard Deviation of 6.19, mean deviation of 4.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.81, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adventure Box are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adventure Box is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Adventure Box Technology has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to confirm Adventure Box's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Adventure Box Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Adventure Box Technology has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adventure Box time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adventure Box Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Adventure Box price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Adventure Box Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Adventure Box stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adventure Box's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adventure Box returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adventure Box has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Adventure Box regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adventure Box stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adventure Box stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adventure Box stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Adventure Box Lagged Returns

When evaluating Adventure Box's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adventure Box stock have on its future price. Adventure Box autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adventure Box autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adventure Box stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adventure Box Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Adventure Stock

Adventure Box financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adventure Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adventure with respect to the benefits of owning Adventure Box security.