Ameriguard Security Services Stock Market Value
| AGSS Stock | USD 0.02 0 4.46% |
| Symbol | Ameriguard |
Ameriguard Security 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ameriguard Security's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ameriguard Security.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 01/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ameriguard Security on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ameriguard Security Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ameriguard Security over 60 days. Ameriguard Security Services Inc. does not have significant operations More
Ameriguard Security Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ameriguard Security's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ameriguard Security Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 18.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.086 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 92.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (26.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 38.89 |
Ameriguard Security Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ameriguard Security's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ameriguard Security's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ameriguard Security historical prices to predict the future Ameriguard Security's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0765 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.55 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0682 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0796 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 13.99 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ameriguard Security's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ameriguard Security Backtested Returns
Ameriguard Security appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Ameriguard Security secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0542, which signifies that the company had a 0.0542 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ameriguard Security's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.9% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ameriguard Security's mean deviation of 11.12, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0765 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ameriguard Security holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ameriguard Security's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ameriguard Security is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ameriguard Security's information ratio and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Ameriguard Security's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.39 |
Poor reverse predictability
Ameriguard Security Services has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ameriguard Security time series from 9th of November 2025 to 9th of December 2025 and 9th of December 2025 to 8th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ameriguard Security price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Ameriguard Security price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Ameriguard Security lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ameriguard Security pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ameriguard Security's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ameriguard Security returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ameriguard Security has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ameriguard Security regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ameriguard Security pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ameriguard Security pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ameriguard Security pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ameriguard Security Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ameriguard Security's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ameriguard Security pink sheet have on its future price. Ameriguard Security autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ameriguard Security autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ameriguard Security pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ameriguard Security Services.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for Ameriguard Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ameriguard Security's price analysis, check to measure Ameriguard Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameriguard Security is operating at the current time. Most of Ameriguard Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameriguard Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameriguard Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameriguard Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.