Airan (India) Market Value

AIRAN Stock   29.97  0.91  3.13%   
Airan's market value is the price at which a share of Airan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Airan Limited investors about its performance. Airan is selling at 29.97 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 3.13 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 29.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Airan Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Airan over a given investment horizon. Check out Airan Correlation, Airan Volatility and Airan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Airan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Airan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Airan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Airan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Airan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Airan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Airan.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Airan on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Airan Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Airan over 30 days. Airan is related to or competes with Salzer Electronics, TVS Electronics, Privi Speciality, Kanoria Chemicals, Fineotex Chemical, Neogen Chemicals, and Krebs Biochemicals. Airan is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Airan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Airan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Airan Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Airan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Airan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Airan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Airan historical prices to predict the future Airan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4330.3533.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5827.5030.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1328.0530.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.4331.4835.52
Details

Airan Limited Backtested Returns

Airan Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the company had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Airan Limited exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Airan's Standard Deviation of 2.85, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 2.2 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Airan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Airan is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Airan Limited has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to confirm Airan's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Airan Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Airan Limited has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Airan time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Airan Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Airan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.09

Airan Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Airan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Airan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Airan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Airan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Airan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Airan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Airan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Airan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Airan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Airan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Airan stock have on its future price. Airan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Airan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Airan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Airan Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Airan Stock

Airan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airan with respect to the benefits of owning Airan security.