Groupe Tera (France) Market Value

ALGTR Stock   2.06  0.24  13.19%   
Groupe Tera's market value is the price at which a share of Groupe Tera trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Groupe Tera SA investors about its performance. Groupe Tera is selling at 2.06 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 13.19% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 2.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Groupe Tera SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Groupe Tera over a given investment horizon. Check out Groupe Tera Correlation, Groupe Tera Volatility and Groupe Tera Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Groupe Tera.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupe Tera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupe Tera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupe Tera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Groupe Tera 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Groupe Tera's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Groupe Tera.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Groupe Tera on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Groupe Tera SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Groupe Tera over 30 days. Groupe Tera is related to or competes with Moulinvest, and Agripower France. More

Groupe Tera Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Groupe Tera's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Groupe Tera SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Groupe Tera Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupe Tera's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Groupe Tera's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Groupe Tera historical prices to predict the future Groupe Tera's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.068.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.987.92
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Groupe Tera SA Backtested Returns

Groupe Tera SA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0765, which attests that the entity had a -0.0765% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Groupe Tera SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Groupe Tera's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 5.89, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.63) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.71, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Groupe Tera's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Groupe Tera is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Groupe Tera SA has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to check out Groupe Tera's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Groupe Tera SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Groupe Tera SA has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Groupe Tera time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Groupe Tera SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Groupe Tera price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Groupe Tera SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Groupe Tera stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Groupe Tera's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Groupe Tera returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Groupe Tera has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Groupe Tera regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Groupe Tera stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Groupe Tera stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Groupe Tera stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Groupe Tera Lagged Returns

When evaluating Groupe Tera's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Groupe Tera stock have on its future price. Groupe Tera autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Groupe Tera autocorrelation shows the relationship between Groupe Tera stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Groupe Tera SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Groupe Stock Analysis

When running Groupe Tera's price analysis, check to measure Groupe Tera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe Tera is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe Tera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe Tera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe Tera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe Tera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.