Alarm Holdings Stock Market Value
| ALRM Stock | USD 46.38 0.76 1.67% |
| Symbol | Alarm |
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Alarm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alarm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 2.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Alarm Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Alarm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Alarm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Alarm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Alarm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alarm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Alarm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Alarm Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alarm Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alarm Holdings.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alarm Holdings on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alarm Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alarm Holdings over 90 days. Alarm Holdings is related to or competes with NCR Atleos, ODDITY Tech, Rumble, Neptune Insurance, WEBTOON Entertainment, Clear Secure, and Sprinklr. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United St... More
Alarm Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alarm Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alarm Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.5 |
Alarm Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alarm Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alarm Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alarm Holdings historical prices to predict the future Alarm Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Alarm Holdings February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,547) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.5 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1513 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.26 |
Alarm Holdings Backtested Returns
Alarm Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0283, which signifies that the company had a -0.0283 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alarm Holdings exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alarm Holdings' risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 1.16 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Alarm Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alarm Holdings is expected to follow. At this point, Alarm Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.049%. Please make sure to confirm Alarm Holdings' information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Alarm Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.41 |
Modest reverse predictability
Alarm Holdings has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alarm Holdings time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alarm Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Alarm Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.17 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Alarm Holdings Correlation, Alarm Holdings Volatility and Alarm Holdings Performance module to complement your research on Alarm Holdings. To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Alarm Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.