American Century Small Fund Market Value

ANOHX Fund  USD 25.76  0.43  1.70%   
American Century's market value is the price at which a share of American Century trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Century Small investors about its performance. American Century is trading at 25.76 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.70 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.33.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Century Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Century over a given investment horizon. Check out American Century Correlation, American Century Volatility and American Century Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Century.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Century 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Century's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Century.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Century on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Century Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Century over 480 days. American Century is related to or competes with Small Cap, Small Cap, and Baron International. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in small cap companies More

American Century Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Century's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Century Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Century Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Century's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Century's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Century historical prices to predict the future American Century's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6325.7626.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.2225.3526.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.1025.2326.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2125.6226.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Century. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Century's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Century's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Century Small.

American Century Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider American Mutual Fund to be very steady. American Century Small secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for American Century Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Century's risk adjusted performance of 0.1161, and Mean Deviation of 0.8616 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.33, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Century will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

American Century Small has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Century time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Century Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current American Century price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.51

American Century Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Century mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Century's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Century returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Century has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Century regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Century mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Century mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Century mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Century Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Century's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Century mutual fund have on its future price. American Century autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Century autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Century mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Century Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Century security.
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