Appen Limited Stock Market Value
| APPEF Stock | USD 1.80 0.03 1.69% |
| Symbol | Appen |
Appen 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Appen's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Appen.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Appen on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Appen Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Appen over 30 days. Appen is related to or competes with Appen, Direct Communication, Capgemini, Quisitive Technology, Atos SE, Atos Origin, and CSE Global. Appen Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an AI lifecycle company that collects and labels image, text,... More
Appen Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Appen's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Appen Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.178 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 107.67 | |||
| Potential Upside | 29.09 |
Appen Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Appen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Appen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Appen historical prices to predict the future Appen's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1504 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 3.14 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8771 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.25) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Appen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Appen Limited Backtested Returns
Appen is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Appen Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the company had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 3.02% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Appen Standard Deviation of 16.36, mean deviation of 6.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1504 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Appen holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.34, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Appen are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Appen is expected to outperform it. Use Appen kurtosis, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and day median price , to analyze future returns on Appen.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Appen Limited has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Appen time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Appen Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Appen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Appen Limited lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Appen pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Appen's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Appen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Appen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Appen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Appen pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Appen pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Appen pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Appen Lagged Returns
When evaluating Appen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Appen pink sheet have on its future price. Appen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Appen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Appen pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Appen Limited.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Appen Pink Sheet
Appen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Appen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Appen with respect to the benefits of owning Appen security.