Argo Blockchain (UK) Market Value

ARB Stock   8.50  0.30  3.66%   
Argo Blockchain's market value is the price at which a share of Argo Blockchain trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Argo Blockchain PLC investors about its performance. Argo Blockchain is trading at 8.50 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 3.66 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Argo Blockchain PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Argo Blockchain over a given investment horizon. Check out Argo Blockchain Correlation, Argo Blockchain Volatility and Argo Blockchain Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Blockchain.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Argo Blockchain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argo Blockchain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argo Blockchain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Argo Blockchain 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Argo Blockchain's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Argo Blockchain.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Argo Blockchain on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Argo Blockchain PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Argo Blockchain over 60 days. Argo Blockchain is related to or competes with Bloomsbury Publishing, Odfjell Drilling, Primary Health, Hochschild Mining, Cornish Metals, Metals Exploration, and Abingdon Health. Argo Blockchain is entity of United Kingdom More

Argo Blockchain Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Argo Blockchain's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Argo Blockchain PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Argo Blockchain Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Argo Blockchain's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Argo Blockchain's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Argo Blockchain historical prices to predict the future Argo Blockchain's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.538.1914.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.677.3313.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.997.6514.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-3.75-3.17-2.25
Details

Argo Blockchain PLC Backtested Returns

Argo Blockchain PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0117, which signifies that the company had a -0.0117% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Argo Blockchain PLC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Argo Blockchain's mean deviation of 4.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.9, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Argo Blockchain will likely underperform. At this point, Argo Blockchain PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0784%. Please make sure to confirm Argo Blockchain's treynor ratio, kurtosis, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Argo Blockchain PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Argo Blockchain PLC has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Argo Blockchain time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Argo Blockchain PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Argo Blockchain price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.6

Argo Blockchain PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Argo Blockchain stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Argo Blockchain's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Argo Blockchain returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Argo Blockchain has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Argo Blockchain regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Argo Blockchain stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Argo Blockchain stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Argo Blockchain stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Argo Blockchain Lagged Returns

When evaluating Argo Blockchain's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Argo Blockchain stock have on its future price. Argo Blockchain autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Argo Blockchain autocorrelation shows the relationship between Argo Blockchain stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Argo Blockchain PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Argo Blockchain PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Argo Blockchain's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Argo Blockchain's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Argo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Argo Blockchain Correlation, Argo Blockchain Volatility and Argo Blockchain Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Blockchain.
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Argo Blockchain technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Argo Blockchain technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Argo Blockchain trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...