Avanti Energy Stock Market Value
| ARGYF Stock | USD 0.09 0.01 11.41% |
| Symbol | Avanti |
Avanti Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Avanti Energy's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Avanti Energy.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Avanti Energy on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Avanti Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Avanti Energy over 30 days. Avanti Energy is related to or competes with Desert Mountain, and Avanti Energy. Avanti Helium Corp. acquires, explores, and develops helium projects in Canada and the United States More
Avanti Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Avanti Energy's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Avanti Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 42.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.09 |
Avanti Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Avanti Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Avanti Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Avanti Energy historical prices to predict the future Avanti Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3656 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avanti Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avanti Energy Backtested Returns
Avanti Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Avanti Energy exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Avanti Energy's risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 4.82 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.26, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Avanti Energy are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Avanti Energy is expected to outperform it. At this point, Avanti Energy has a negative expected return of -0.74%. Please make sure to confirm Avanti Energy's jensen alpha and the relationship between the potential upside and period momentum indicator , to decide if Avanti Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.62 |
Good predictability
Avanti Energy has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Avanti Energy time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Avanti Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Avanti Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Avanti Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Avanti Energy pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Avanti Energy's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Avanti Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Avanti Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Avanti Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Avanti Energy pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Avanti Energy pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Avanti Energy pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Avanti Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Avanti Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Avanti Energy pink sheet have on its future price. Avanti Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Avanti Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Avanti Energy pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Avanti Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Avanti Pink Sheet
Avanti Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avanti Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avanti with respect to the benefits of owning Avanti Energy security.