Aberforth Smaller (UK) Market Value

ASL Stock   1,442  8.00  0.56%   
Aberforth Smaller's market value is the price at which a share of Aberforth Smaller trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aberforth Smaller Companies investors about its performance. Aberforth Smaller is trading at 1442.00 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.56 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1432.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aberforth Smaller Companies and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aberforth Smaller over a given investment horizon. Check out Aberforth Smaller Correlation, Aberforth Smaller Volatility and Aberforth Smaller Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aberforth Smaller.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberforth Smaller's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberforth Smaller is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberforth Smaller's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aberforth Smaller 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberforth Smaller's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberforth Smaller.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aberforth Smaller on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberforth Smaller Companies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberforth Smaller over 30 days. Aberforth Smaller is related to or competes with Federal Realty, Aberdeen Diversified, Induction Healthcare, New Residential, Worldwide Healthcare, Mercantile Investment, and Bellevue Healthcare. Aberforth Smaller is entity of United Kingdom More

Aberforth Smaller Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberforth Smaller's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberforth Smaller Companies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aberforth Smaller Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberforth Smaller's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberforth Smaller's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberforth Smaller historical prices to predict the future Aberforth Smaller's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4421,4431,444
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2981,4711,472
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4481,4491,450
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,4151,4351,456
Details

Aberforth Smaller Backtested Returns

Aberforth Smaller secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.19, which signifies that the company had a -0.19% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Aberforth Smaller Companies exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aberforth Smaller's risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 0.879 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aberforth Smaller's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberforth Smaller is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Aberforth Smaller has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to confirm Aberforth Smaller's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Aberforth Smaller performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Aberforth Smaller Companies has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberforth Smaller time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberforth Smaller price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Aberforth Smaller price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance114.45

Aberforth Smaller lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aberforth Smaller stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberforth Smaller's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberforth Smaller returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberforth Smaller has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aberforth Smaller regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberforth Smaller stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberforth Smaller stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberforth Smaller stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aberforth Smaller Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aberforth Smaller's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberforth Smaller stock have on its future price. Aberforth Smaller autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberforth Smaller autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberforth Smaller stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberforth Smaller Companies.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Aberforth Stock

Aberforth Smaller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberforth Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberforth with respect to the benefits of owning Aberforth Smaller security.