Astor Longshort Fund Market Value

ASTZX Fund  USD 13.09  0.07  0.54%   
Astor Long/short's market value is the price at which a share of Astor Long/short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Astor Longshort Fund investors about its performance. Astor Long/short is trading at 13.09 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.54 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Astor Longshort Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Astor Long/short over a given investment horizon. Check out Astor Long/short Correlation, Astor Long/short Volatility and Astor Long/short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Astor Long/short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Astor Long/short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astor Long/short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astor Long/short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Astor Long/short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Astor Long/short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Astor Long/short.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Astor Long/short on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Astor Longshort Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Astor Long/short over 30 days. Astor Long/short is related to or competes with International Investors, James Balanced, Gold And, Wells Fargo, Short Precious, and The Gold. The fund invests predominantly in exchange-traded funds that each invest primarily in domestic or foreign equity securit... More

Astor Long/short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Astor Long/short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Astor Longshort Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Astor Long/short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Astor Long/short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Astor Long/short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Astor Long/short historical prices to predict the future Astor Long/short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7113.0913.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6313.0113.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6513.0313.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7012.9313.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astor Long/short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astor Long/short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astor Long/short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Astor Long/short.

Astor Long/short Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Astor Mutual Fund to be very steady. Astor Long/short secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Astor Longshort Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Astor Long/short's Downside Deviation of 0.4177, mean deviation of 0.2957, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0987 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0529%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Astor Long/short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Astor Long/short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Astor Longshort Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Astor Long/short time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Astor Long/short price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Astor Long/short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Astor Long/short lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Astor Long/short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Astor Long/short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Astor Long/short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Astor Long/short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Astor Long/short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Astor Long/short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Astor Long/short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Astor Long/short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Astor Long/short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Astor Long/short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Astor Long/short mutual fund have on its future price. Astor Long/short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Astor Long/short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Astor Long/short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Astor Longshort Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund

Astor Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Long/short security.
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