American States Water Stock Market Value

AWR Stock  USD 74.89  2.00  2.74%   
American States' market value is the price at which a share of American States trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American States Water investors about its performance. American States is selling at 74.89 as of the 16th of February 2026; that is 2.74% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 72.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American States Water and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American States over a given investment horizon. Check out American States Correlation, American States Volatility and American States Performance module to complement your research on American States.
Symbol

Can Water Utilities industry sustain growth momentum? Does American have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American States. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating American States demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
1.901
Earnings Share
3.38
Revenue Per Share
16.62
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.129
Investors evaluate American States Water using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American States' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American States' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American States' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American States represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American States' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

American States 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American States' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American States.
0.00
11/18/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/16/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American States on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American States Water or generate 0.0% return on investment in American States over 90 days. American States is related to or competes with California Water, Renew Energy, Chesapeake Utilities, Central Puerto, MGE Energy, H2O America, and Excelerate Energy. American States Water Company, through its subsidiaries, provides water and electric services to residential, commercial... More

American States Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American States' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American States Water upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American States Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American States' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American States' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American States historical prices to predict the future American States' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.7674.8475.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.9273.0082.35
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.5272.0079.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.870.870.87
Details

American States February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

American States Water Backtested Returns

Currently, American States Water is very steady. American States Water secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0564, which signifies that the company had a 0.0564 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for American States Water, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm American States' mean deviation of 0.8222, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0125 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0604%. American States has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, American States' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American States is expected to be smaller as well. American States Water right now shows a risk of 1.07%. Please confirm American States Water standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if American States Water will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.21  

Weak reverse predictability

American States Water has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American States time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American States Water price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current American States price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.21
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.4

Pair Trading with American States

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American States position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American States will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against American Stock

  0.48SAJA Companhia de SaneamentoPairCorr
  0.43SBS Companhia de Saneamento Sell-off TrendPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American States could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American States when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American States - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American States Water to buy it.
The correlation of American States is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American States moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American States Water moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American States can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American States' price analysis, check to measure American States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American States is operating at the current time. Most of American States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.