Australian Unity (Australia) Market Value

AYUPA Preferred Stock   82.55  0.15  0.18%   
Australian Unity's market value is the price at which a share of Australian Unity trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Australian Unity Ltd investors about its performance. Australian Unity is trading at 82.55 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 82.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Australian Unity Ltd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Australian Unity over a given investment horizon. Check out Australian Unity Correlation, Australian Unity Volatility and Australian Unity Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Australian Unity.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Australian Unity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Australian Unity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Australian Unity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Australian Unity 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Australian Unity's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Australian Unity.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Australian Unity on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Australian Unity Ltd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Australian Unity over 180 days. Australian Unity is related to or competes with Home Consortium, Clime Investment, Argo Investments, Pinnacle Investment, Carlton Investments, REGAL ASIAN, and Regal Investment. More

Australian Unity Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Australian Unity's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Australian Unity Ltd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Australian Unity Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Australian Unity's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Australian Unity's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Australian Unity historical prices to predict the future Australian Unity's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.9882.5583.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.5082.0782.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.9982.5683.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.3982.3683.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Australian Unity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Australian Unity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Australian Unity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Australian Unity.

Australian Unity Backtested Returns

At this point, Australian Unity is very steady. Australian Unity secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Australian Unity Ltd, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Australian Unity's Downside Deviation of 0.5971, risk adjusted performance of 0.0972, and Mean Deviation of 0.3712 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0719%. Australian Unity has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Australian Unity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Australian Unity is expected to be smaller as well. Australian Unity right now shows a risk of 0.57%. Please confirm Australian Unity treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Australian Unity will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Australian Unity Ltd has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Australian Unity time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Australian Unity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Australian Unity price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.72

Australian Unity lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Australian Unity preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Australian Unity's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Australian Unity returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Australian Unity has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Australian Unity regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Australian Unity preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Australian Unity preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Australian Unity preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Australian Unity Lagged Returns

When evaluating Australian Unity's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Australian Unity preferred stock have on its future price. Australian Unity autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Australian Unity autocorrelation shows the relationship between Australian Unity preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Australian Unity Ltd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Australian Preferred Stock

Australian Unity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australian Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australian with respect to the benefits of owning Australian Unity security.