Capgemini (France) Market Value

CAP Stock  EUR 185.25  0.35  0.19%   
Capgemini's market value is the price at which a share of Capgemini trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capgemini SE investors about its performance. Capgemini is trading at 185.25 as of the 16th of February 2025, a 0.19 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 184.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capgemini SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capgemini over a given investment horizon. Check out Capgemini Correlation, Capgemini Volatility and Capgemini Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capgemini.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capgemini's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capgemini is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capgemini's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capgemini 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capgemini's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capgemini.
0.00
01/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capgemini on January 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capgemini SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capgemini over 30 days. Capgemini is related to or competes with Compagnie, Pernod Ricard, Bouygues, and Accor S. Capgemini SE provides consulting, technology, and digital transformation services More

Capgemini Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capgemini's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capgemini SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capgemini Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capgemini's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capgemini's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capgemini historical prices to predict the future Capgemini's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
184.05185.25186.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
166.73208.45209.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
181.90183.10184.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
160.50174.70188.89
Details

Capgemini SE Backtested Returns

Capgemini appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Capgemini SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.24, which signifies that the company had a 0.24 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Capgemini SE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Capgemini's Mean Deviation of 1.09, downside deviation of 1.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1009 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Capgemini holds a performance score of 18. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.43, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Capgemini's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capgemini is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Capgemini's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Capgemini's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Capgemini SE has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capgemini time series from 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025 and 1st of February 2025 to 16th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capgemini SE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Capgemini price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.87
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance15.1

Capgemini SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capgemini stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capgemini's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capgemini returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capgemini has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capgemini regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capgemini stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capgemini stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capgemini stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capgemini Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capgemini's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capgemini stock have on its future price. Capgemini autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capgemini autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capgemini stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capgemini SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Capgemini Stock

Capgemini financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capgemini Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capgemini with respect to the benefits of owning Capgemini security.