SA Catana (France) Market Value

CATG Stock  EUR 4.68  0.08  1.68%   
SA Catana's market value is the price at which a share of SA Catana trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SA Catana Group investors about its performance. SA Catana is trading at 4.68 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 1.68% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SA Catana Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SA Catana over a given investment horizon. Check out SA Catana Correlation, SA Catana Volatility and SA Catana Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SA Catana.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SA Catana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SA Catana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SA Catana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SA Catana 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SA Catana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SA Catana.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SA Catana on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SA Catana Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in SA Catana over 30 days. SA Catana is related to or competes with Veolia Environnement, Jacquet Metal, Fiducial Office, Bilendi, Sidetrade, and Innelec Multimedia. SA Catana Group designs, constructs, and markets pleasure boats in France and internationally More

SA Catana Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SA Catana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SA Catana Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SA Catana Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SA Catana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SA Catana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SA Catana historical prices to predict the future SA Catana's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.714.686.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.764.736.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.514.486.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.634.714.78
Details

SA Catana Group Backtested Returns

SA Catana Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0669, which indicates the company had a -0.0669% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. SA Catana exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SA Catana's information ratio of (0.12), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.65) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SA Catana's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SA Catana is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, SA Catana Group has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate SA Catana's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if SA Catana Group performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

SA Catana Group has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SA Catana time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SA Catana Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current SA Catana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

SA Catana Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SA Catana stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SA Catana's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SA Catana returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SA Catana has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SA Catana regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SA Catana stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SA Catana stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SA Catana stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SA Catana Lagged Returns

When evaluating SA Catana's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SA Catana stock have on its future price. SA Catana autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SA Catana autocorrelation shows the relationship between SA Catana stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SA Catana Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CATG Stock

SA Catana financial ratios help investors to determine whether CATG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CATG with respect to the benefits of owning SA Catana security.