Colony Bankcorp Stock Market Value
| CBAN Stock | USD 17.19 0.22 1.30% |
| Symbol | Colony |
Colony Bankcorp Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colony Bankcorp. If investors know Colony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colony Bankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 0.448 | Earnings Share 1.26 | Revenue Per Share 6.202 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Colony Bankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colony Bankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colony Bankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colony Bankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colony Bankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colony Bankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colony Bankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colony Bankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Colony Bankcorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Colony Bankcorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Colony Bankcorp.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Colony Bankcorp on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Colony Bankcorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Colony Bankcorp over 30 days. Colony Bankcorp is related to or competes with Home Federal, First Financial, First Northwest, First Capital, Community West, Magyar Bancorp, and Lake Shore. Colony Bankcorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Colony Bank that provides various banking products and se... More
Colony Bankcorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Colony Bankcorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Colony Bankcorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0849 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 |
Colony Bankcorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Colony Bankcorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Colony Bankcorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Colony Bankcorp historical prices to predict the future Colony Bankcorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1042 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.251 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0248 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1374 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.53 |
Colony Bankcorp Backtested Returns
Colony Bankcorp appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Colony Bankcorp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Colony Bankcorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Colony Bankcorp's Downside Deviation of 1.31, risk adjusted performance of 0.1042, and Mean Deviation of 1.25 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Colony Bankcorp holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Colony Bankcorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Colony Bankcorp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Colony Bankcorp's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Colony Bankcorp's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.09 |
Virtually no predictability
Colony Bankcorp has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Colony Bankcorp time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Colony Bankcorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Colony Bankcorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.09 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Colony Bankcorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Colony Bankcorp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Colony Bankcorp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Colony Bankcorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Colony Bankcorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Colony Bankcorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Colony Bankcorp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Colony Bankcorp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Colony Bankcorp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Colony Bankcorp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Colony Bankcorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Colony Bankcorp stock have on its future price. Colony Bankcorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Colony Bankcorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Colony Bankcorp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Colony Bankcorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Colony Bankcorp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Colony Bankcorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Colony Bankcorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Colony Stock
Moving against Colony Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Colony Bankcorp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Colony Bankcorp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Colony Bankcorp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Colony Bankcorp to buy it.
The correlation of Colony Bankcorp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Colony Bankcorp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Colony Bankcorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Colony Bankcorp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Colony Bankcorp Correlation, Colony Bankcorp Volatility and Colony Bankcorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Colony Bankcorp. To learn how to invest in Colony Stock, please use our How to Invest in Colony Bankcorp guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Colony Bankcorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.