Vaneck China Bond Etf Market Value

CBON Etf  USD 22.11  0.04  0.18%   
VanEck China's market value is the price at which a share of VanEck China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VanEck China Bond investors about its performance. VanEck China is selling at 22.11 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.18 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 22.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VanEck China Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VanEck China over a given investment horizon. Check out VanEck China Correlation, VanEck China Volatility and VanEck China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VanEck China.
Symbol

The market value of VanEck China Bond is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VanEck China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck China's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck China.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VanEck China on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck China Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck China over 30 days. VanEck China is related to or competes with SPDR Bloomberg, Vanguard Emerging, SPDR Bloomberg, VanEck JP, SPDR Bloomberg, SPDR Bloomberg, and IShares JP. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in securities that comprise the funds benchmark index More

VanEck China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck China's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck China Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VanEck China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck China historical prices to predict the future VanEck China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7622.1122.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6220.9724.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6522.0022.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.0222.1122.20
Details

VanEck China Bond Backtested Returns

VanEck China Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.059, which indicates the etf had a -0.059% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. VanEck China Bond exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate VanEck China's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,259), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Variance of 0.1268 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VanEck China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VanEck China is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

VanEck China Bond has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck China time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck China Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current VanEck China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

VanEck China Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VanEck China etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck China's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VanEck China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck China etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck China etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck China etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VanEck China Lagged Returns

When evaluating VanEck China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck China etf have on its future price. VanEck China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck China autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck China etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck China Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with VanEck China

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if VanEck China position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in VanEck China will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to VanEck China could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace VanEck China when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back VanEck China - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling VanEck China Bond to buy it.
The correlation of VanEck China is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as VanEck China moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if VanEck China Bond moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for VanEck China can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether VanEck China Bond offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck China's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck China Bond Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck China Bond Etf:
Check out VanEck China Correlation, VanEck China Volatility and VanEck China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VanEck China.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
VanEck China technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of VanEck China technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of VanEck China trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...