Chautauqua International Growth Fund Market Value

CCWIX Fund  USD 19.42  0.01  0.05%   
Chautauqua International's market value is the price at which a share of Chautauqua International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chautauqua International Growth investors about its performance. Chautauqua International is trading at 19.42 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.05 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chautauqua International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chautauqua International over a given investment horizon. Check out Chautauqua International Correlation, Chautauqua International Volatility and Chautauqua International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chautauqua International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chautauqua International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chautauqua International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chautauqua International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chautauqua International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chautauqua International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chautauqua International.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chautauqua International on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chautauqua International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chautauqua International over 480 days. Chautauqua International is related to or competes with Baird Aggregate, Baird Aggregate, Baird Short-term, Baird Short-term, Baird Small/mid, Baird Small/mid, and Baird Strategic. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of non-U.S More

Chautauqua International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chautauqua International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chautauqua International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chautauqua International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chautauqua International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chautauqua International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chautauqua International historical prices to predict the future Chautauqua International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4619.4220.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4319.3920.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0919.0520.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.4119.4219.43
Details

Chautauqua International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chautauqua Mutual Fund to be very steady. Chautauqua International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.028, which signifies that the fund had a 0.028% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Chautauqua International Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Chautauqua International's mean deviation of 0.7505, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0363 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0269%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chautauqua International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chautauqua International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Chautauqua International Growth has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chautauqua International time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chautauqua International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Chautauqua International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.64

Chautauqua International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chautauqua International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chautauqua International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chautauqua International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chautauqua International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chautauqua International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chautauqua International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chautauqua International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chautauqua International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chautauqua International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chautauqua International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chautauqua International mutual fund have on its future price. Chautauqua International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chautauqua International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chautauqua International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chautauqua International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chautauqua Mutual Fund

Chautauqua International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chautauqua Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chautauqua with respect to the benefits of owning Chautauqua International security.
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