China Merchants Bank Stock Market Value
| CIHKY Stock | USD 26.41 0.29 1.09% |
| Symbol | China |
China Merchants 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Merchants' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Merchants.
| 02/02/2023 |
| 01/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in China Merchants on February 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Merchants Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Merchants over 720 days. China Merchants is related to or competes with China Everbright, China Merchants, Postal Savings, China Citic, Community West, Bank of the Philippine Is, and BOC Hong. China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services More
China Merchants Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Merchants' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Merchants Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0135 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.99 |
China Merchants Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Merchants' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Merchants' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Merchants historical prices to predict the future China Merchants' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0301 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0474 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0154 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.118 |
China Merchants Bank Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider China Pink Sheet to be very steady. China Merchants Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0394, which signifies that the company had a 0.0394 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for China Merchants Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Merchants' Downside Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of 0.0301, and Mean Deviation of 1.78 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0908%. China Merchants has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, China Merchants' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Merchants is expected to be smaller as well. China Merchants Bank right now shows a risk of 2.3%. Please confirm China Merchants Bank sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if China Merchants Bank will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.74 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
China Merchants Bank has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Merchants time series from 2nd of February 2023 to 28th of January 2024 and 28th of January 2024 to 22nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Merchants Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current China Merchants price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.79 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.56 |
China Merchants Bank lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is China Merchants pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Merchants' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Merchants returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Merchants has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
China Merchants regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Merchants pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Merchants pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Merchants pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
China Merchants Lagged Returns
When evaluating China Merchants' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Merchants pink sheet have on its future price. China Merchants autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Merchants autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Merchants pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Merchants Bank.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis
When running China Merchants' price analysis, check to measure China Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of China Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.