Cogstate Limited Stock Market Value

COGZF Stock  USD 0.68  0.01  1.49%   
Cogstate's market value is the price at which a share of Cogstate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cogstate Limited investors about its performance. Cogstate is trading at 0.68 as of the 21st of January 2025. This is a 1.49 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cogstate Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cogstate over a given investment horizon. Check out Cogstate Correlation, Cogstate Volatility and Cogstate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cogstate.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cogstate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cogstate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cogstate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cogstate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cogstate's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cogstate.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
01/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cogstate on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cogstate Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cogstate over 60 days. Cogstate is related to or competes with Healthcare Integrated, ICoreConnect Common, and Mitesco. Cogstate Limited, a neuroscience technology company, provides computerized cognitive tests and electronic clinical outco... More

Cogstate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cogstate's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cogstate Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cogstate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cogstate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cogstate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cogstate historical prices to predict the future Cogstate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.683.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.563.06
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Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.753.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.610.670.73
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cogstate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cogstate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cogstate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cogstate Limited.

Cogstate Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, Cogstate is extremely dangerous. Cogstate Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0632, which signifies that the company had a 0.0632 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Cogstate Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Cogstate's Downside Deviation of 5.26, risk adjusted performance of 0.0811, and Mean Deviation of 1.36 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Cogstate has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.37, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cogstate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cogstate is likely to outperform the market. Cogstate Limited right now shows a risk of 2.52%. Please confirm Cogstate Limited jensen alpha and the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Cogstate Limited will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Cogstate Limited has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cogstate time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 21st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cogstate Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Cogstate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Cogstate Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cogstate otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cogstate's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cogstate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cogstate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cogstate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cogstate otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cogstate otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cogstate otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cogstate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cogstate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cogstate otc stock have on its future price. Cogstate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cogstate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cogstate otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cogstate Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Cogstate OTC Stock

Cogstate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cogstate OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cogstate with respect to the benefits of owning Cogstate security.