Card Factory Plc Stock Market Value

CRFCF Stock  USD 1.15  0.05  4.17%   
Card Factory's market value is the price at which a share of Card Factory trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Card Factory plc investors about its performance. Card Factory is trading at 1.15 as of the 21st of January 2025. This is a 4.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Card Factory plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Card Factory over a given investment horizon. Check out Card Factory Correlation, Card Factory Volatility and Card Factory Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Card Factory.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Card Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Card Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Card Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Card Factory 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Card Factory's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Card Factory.
0.00
12/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Card Factory on December 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Card Factory plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Card Factory over 30 days. Card Factory is related to or competes with AutoZone, Advance Auto, Tractor Supply, Genuine Parts, and Five Below. Card Factory plc operates as a specialist retailer of greeting cards in the United Kingdom More

Card Factory Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Card Factory's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Card Factory plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Card Factory Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Card Factory's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Card Factory's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Card Factory historical prices to predict the future Card Factory's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Card Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.156.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.056.76
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Card Factory plc Backtested Returns

Card Factory plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0454, which signifies that the company had a -0.0454 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Card Factory plc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Card Factory's Standard Deviation of 5.58, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.47 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.84, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Card Factory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Card Factory is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Card Factory plc has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Card Factory's day typical price, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and treynor ratio , to decide if Card Factory plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Card Factory plc has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Card Factory time series from 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025 and 6th of January 2025 to 21st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Card Factory plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Card Factory price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Card Factory plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Card Factory pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Card Factory's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Card Factory returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Card Factory has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Card Factory regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Card Factory pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Card Factory pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Card Factory pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Card Factory Lagged Returns

When evaluating Card Factory's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Card Factory pink sheet have on its future price. Card Factory autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Card Factory autocorrelation shows the relationship between Card Factory pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Card Factory plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Card Pink Sheet

Card Factory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Card Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Card with respect to the benefits of owning Card Factory security.