CarrefourSA Carrefour (Turkey) Market Value

CRFSA Stock  TRY 88.85  1.50  1.66%   
CarrefourSA Carrefour's market value is the price at which a share of CarrefourSA Carrefour trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci investors about its performance. CarrefourSA Carrefour is trading at 88.85 as of the 27th of February 2025. This is a 1.66 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 90.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CarrefourSA Carrefour over a given investment horizon. Check out CarrefourSA Carrefour Correlation, CarrefourSA Carrefour Volatility and CarrefourSA Carrefour Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CarrefourSA Carrefour.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CarrefourSA Carrefour's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CarrefourSA Carrefour is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CarrefourSA Carrefour's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CarrefourSA Carrefour 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CarrefourSA Carrefour's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CarrefourSA Carrefour.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CarrefourSA Carrefour on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci or generate 0.0% return on investment in CarrefourSA Carrefour over 30 days. CarrefourSA Carrefour is related to or competes with Politeknik Metal, Cuhadaroglu Metal, Bms Birlesik, Silverline Endustri, Koza Anadolu, and E Data. CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci Ticaret Merkezi A.S More

CarrefourSA Carrefour Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CarrefourSA Carrefour's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CarrefourSA Carrefour Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CarrefourSA Carrefour's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CarrefourSA Carrefour's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CarrefourSA Carrefour historical prices to predict the future CarrefourSA Carrefour's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.1388.8590.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.9795.8997.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.3289.0490.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.3196.29103.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CarrefourSA Carrefour. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CarrefourSA Carrefour's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CarrefourSA Carrefour's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CarrefourSA Carrefour.

CarrefourSA Carrefour Backtested Returns

CarrefourSA Carrefour secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CarrefourSA Carrefour's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), standard deviation of 1.7, and Mean Deviation of 1.32 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.5, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CarrefourSA Carrefour's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CarrefourSA Carrefour is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CarrefourSA Carrefour has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm CarrefourSA Carrefour's value at risk, rate of daily change, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if CarrefourSA Carrefour performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CarrefourSA Carrefour time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CarrefourSA Carrefour price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current CarrefourSA Carrefour price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.15

CarrefourSA Carrefour lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CarrefourSA Carrefour stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CarrefourSA Carrefour's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CarrefourSA Carrefour returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CarrefourSA Carrefour has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CarrefourSA Carrefour regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CarrefourSA Carrefour stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CarrefourSA Carrefour stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CarrefourSA Carrefour stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CarrefourSA Carrefour Lagged Returns

When evaluating CarrefourSA Carrefour's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CarrefourSA Carrefour stock have on its future price. CarrefourSA Carrefour autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CarrefourSA Carrefour autocorrelation shows the relationship between CarrefourSA Carrefour stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in CarrefourSA Stock

CarrefourSA Carrefour financial ratios help investors to determine whether CarrefourSA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CarrefourSA with respect to the benefits of owning CarrefourSA Carrefour security.