Chargeurs (France) Market Value

CRI Stock  EUR 10.08  0.04  0.40%   
Chargeurs' market value is the price at which a share of Chargeurs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chargeurs SA investors about its performance. Chargeurs is trading at 10.08 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.40% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 10.04.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chargeurs SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chargeurs over a given investment horizon. Check out Chargeurs Correlation, Chargeurs Volatility and Chargeurs Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chargeurs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chargeurs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chargeurs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chargeurs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chargeurs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chargeurs' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chargeurs.
0.00
09/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chargeurs on September 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chargeurs SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chargeurs over 60 days. Chargeurs is related to or competes with Derichebourg, Trigano SA, Rubis SCA, BigBen Interactive, and Gaztransport Technigaz. Chargeurs SA operates as a manufacturing and services company in France and internationally More

Chargeurs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chargeurs' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chargeurs SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chargeurs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chargeurs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chargeurs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chargeurs historical prices to predict the future Chargeurs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0210.0812.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.738.7910.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1310.1912.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9310.0810.22
Details

Chargeurs SA Backtested Returns

Chargeurs SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Chargeurs SA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Chargeurs' mean deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0269, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chargeurs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chargeurs is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Chargeurs SA has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Chargeurs' maximum drawdown, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Chargeurs SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Chargeurs SA has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chargeurs time series from 27th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chargeurs SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Chargeurs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Chargeurs SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chargeurs stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chargeurs' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chargeurs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chargeurs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chargeurs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chargeurs stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chargeurs stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chargeurs stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chargeurs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chargeurs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chargeurs stock have on its future price. Chargeurs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chargeurs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chargeurs stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chargeurs SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chargeurs Stock

Chargeurs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chargeurs Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chargeurs with respect to the benefits of owning Chargeurs security.