Deutsche Bank (Brazil) Market Value
| DBAG34 Stock | BRL 94.30 3.05 3.13% |
| Symbol | Deutsche |
Deutsche Bank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Bank.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Deutsche Bank on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Bank over 30 days. Deutsche Bank is related to or competes with Fras Le, BTG Pactual, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, Randon SA, and Alphabet. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft provides investment, financial, and related products and services to private individual... More
Deutsche Bank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0191 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.48 |
Deutsche Bank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Bank historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Bank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0852 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1309 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0181 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9471 |
Deutsche Bank Aktien Backtested Returns
At this point, Deutsche Bank is very steady. Deutsche Bank Aktien secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0527, which denotes the company had a 0.0527% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Deutsche Bank's Downside Deviation of 1.62, coefficient of variation of 955.7, and Mean Deviation of 0.9946 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0747%. Deutsche Bank has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Bank is expected to be smaller as well. Deutsche Bank Aktien right now shows a risk of 1.42%. Please confirm Deutsche Bank Aktien treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Deutsche Bank Aktien will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.22 |
Weak reverse predictability
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Bank time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Bank Aktien price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Deutsche Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.0 |
Deutsche Bank Aktien lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Deutsche Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Bank stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Deutsche Bank Lagged Returns
When evaluating Deutsche Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Bank stock have on its future price. Deutsche Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Stock
Deutsche Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Bank security.