Davis Global Fund Market Value

DGFYX Fund  USD 32.28  0.34  1.06%   
Davis Global's market value is the price at which a share of Davis Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Davis Global Fund investors about its performance. Davis Global is trading at 32.28 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 1.06% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 31.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Davis Global Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Davis Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Davis Global Correlation, Davis Global Volatility and Davis Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Davis Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Davis Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Davis Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Davis Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Davis Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Davis Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Davis Global.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Davis Global on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Davis Global Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Davis Global over 30 days. Davis Global is related to or competes with Davis International, Davis International, Davis International, Davis Financial, Davis Appreciation, Davis Real, and Davis Opportunity. Davis Selected Advisers, L.P. , the funds investment adviser, uses the Davis Investment Discipline to invest Davis Global Funds portfolio principally in common stocks issued by both United States and foreign companies, including countries with developed or emerging markets. More

Davis Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Davis Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Davis Global Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Davis Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Davis Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Davis Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Davis Global historical prices to predict the future Davis Global's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Davis Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9832.3033.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5631.8833.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.0231.3432.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.3532.0232.70
Details

Davis Global Backtested Returns

Davis Global appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Davis Global secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Davis Global Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Davis Global's Mean Deviation of 0.936, downside deviation of 1.37, and Coefficient Of Variation of 681.76 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.78, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Davis Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Davis Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Davis Global Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Davis Global time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Davis Global price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Davis Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Davis Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Davis Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Davis Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Davis Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Davis Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Davis Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Davis Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Davis Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Davis Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Davis Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Davis Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Davis Global mutual fund have on its future price. Davis Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Davis Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Davis Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Davis Global Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund

Davis Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis Global security.
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