The Disciplined Growth Fund Market Value

DGIFX Fund  USD 25.51  0.20  0.79%   
Disciplined Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Disciplined Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Disciplined Growth investors about its performance. Disciplined Growth is trading at 25.51 as of the 20th of January 2025; that is 0.79 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Disciplined Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Disciplined Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Disciplined Growth Correlation, Disciplined Growth Volatility and Disciplined Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Disciplined Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Disciplined Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Disciplined Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Disciplined Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Disciplined Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Disciplined Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Disciplined Growth.
0.00
12/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Disciplined Growth on December 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Disciplined Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Disciplined Growth over 30 days. Disciplined Growth is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, 13d Activist, 13d Activist, 13d Activist, and Columbia Select. The fund normally invests approximately 65 percent of its assets in equity securities and approximately 35 percent in fi... More

Disciplined Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Disciplined Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Disciplined Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Disciplined Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Disciplined Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Disciplined Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Disciplined Growth historical prices to predict the future Disciplined Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6225.5126.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4725.3626.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2126.1027.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.4825.2926.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Disciplined Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Disciplined Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Disciplined Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in The Disciplined Growth.

The Disciplined Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Disciplined Mutual Fund to be very steady. The Disciplined Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0973, which denotes the fund had a 0.0973 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for The Disciplined Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Disciplined Growth's Semi Deviation of 0.8892, risk adjusted performance of 0.0567, and Mean Deviation of 0.6864 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.087%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.37, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Disciplined Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Disciplined Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

The Disciplined Growth has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Disciplined Growth time series from 21st of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025 and 5th of January 2025 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of The Disciplined Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Disciplined Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

The Disciplined Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Disciplined Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Disciplined Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Disciplined Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Disciplined Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Disciplined Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Disciplined Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Disciplined Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Disciplined Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Disciplined Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Disciplined Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Disciplined Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Disciplined Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Disciplined Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Disciplined Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Disciplined Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Disciplined Mutual Fund

Disciplined Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Disciplined Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Disciplined with respect to the benefits of owning Disciplined Growth security.
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