First Bancshares Stock Market Value
| FBSI Stock | USD 33.57 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | First |
First Bancshares 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Bancshares' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Bancshares.
| 12/12/2025 |
| 01/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Bancshares on December 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Bancshares over 30 days. First Bancshares is related to or competes with Citizens Bancorp, Juniata Valley, Madison County, Uwharrie Capital, Potomac Bancshares, Consumers Bancorp, and Citizens Bancshares. First Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Stockmens Bank that provides banking and mortgage servic... More
First Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Bancshares' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0658 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 31.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.91 |
First Bancshares Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Bancshares historical prices to predict the future First Bancshares' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0732 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4434 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0365 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.46) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Bancshares Backtested Returns
First Bancshares appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0872, which denotes the company had a 0.0872 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for First Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Bancshares' Coefficient Of Variation of 1146.7, downside deviation of 7.94, and Mean Deviation of 1.91 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Bancshares holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.82, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Please check First Bancshares' maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether First Bancshares' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
First Bancshares has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Bancshares time series from 12th of December 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 11th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current First Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 1.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
First Bancshares lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Bancshares otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Bancshares' otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Bancshares returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Bancshares has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
First Bancshares regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Bancshares otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Bancshares otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Bancshares otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
First Bancshares Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Bancshares' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Bancshares otc stock have on its future price. First Bancshares autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Bancshares autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Bancshares otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Bancshares.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in First OTC Stock
When determining whether First Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Bancshares Stock:Check out First Bancshares Correlation, First Bancshares Volatility and First Bancshares Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on First Bancshares. For more detail on how to invest in First OTC Stock please use our How to Invest in First Bancshares guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
First Bancshares technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.