First Bancshares Volatility
FBSIDelisted Stock | USD 22.75 0.51 2.29% |
We have found twenty-three technical indicators for First Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Bancshares' Mean Deviation of 0.8501, variance of 5.15, and Standard Deviation of 2.27 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to First Bancshares' volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 60 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First Bancshares OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First Bancshares volatility.
First |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of First Bancshares at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase First stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with First OTC Stock
0.72 | AX | Axos Financial | PairCorr |
0.76 | BY | Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
0.75 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
0.67 | RF | Regions Financial Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
Moving against First OTC Stock
0.55 | CFG-PE | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
0.51 | TFC-PO | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
0.51 | TFC-PR | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
0.36 | WF | Woori Financial Group | PairCorr |
First Bancshares Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
First Bancshares' beta coefficient measures the volatility of First otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents First otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, First Bancshares's beta of 0.17 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk First Bancshares otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. First Bancshares exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.89 and kurtosis of 13.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Bancshares' otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Bancshares' otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze First Bancshares Demand TrendCheck current 90 days First Bancshares correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)First Beta |
First standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by First Bancshares's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of First Bancshares' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in First Bancshares.
First Bancshares OTC Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First Bancshares otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First Bancshares' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First Bancshares' otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First Bancshares' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of otc volatility measures First Bancshares' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First Bancshares' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First Bancshares' current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First Bancshares' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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First Bancshares Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancshares has a beta of 0.1666 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Bancshares or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Bancshares' price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0806, implying that it can generate a 0.0806 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a First Bancshares Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First Bancshares OTC Stock Return Volatility
First Bancshares historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Bancshares otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About First Bancshares Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First Bancshares or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First Bancshares may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First Bancshares and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First Bancshares fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.First Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Stockmens Bank that provides banking and mortgage services to individual and corporate customers in southern Missouri, eastern Colorado, and southwestern Nebraska. The company was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Mountain Grove, Missouri. First Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
First Bancshares' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First Bancshares' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize First Bancshares' volatility to invest better
Higher First Bancshares' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First Bancshares stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First Bancshares stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First Bancshares investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First Bancshares' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First Bancshares' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First Bancshares Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.78 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than First Bancshares. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First Bancshares. You can use First Bancshares to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The otc stock experiences an expected bullish sentiment for its category. Check odds of First Bancshares to be traded at $27.3 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between First Bancshares and DJI is 0.06 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Bancshares and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
First Bancshares Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Bancshares' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First Bancshares otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.044 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6146 | |||
Mean Deviation | 0.8501 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 2049.82 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.27 | |||
Variance | 5.15 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First Bancshares Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Bancshares as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Bancshares' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Bancshares' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Bancshares.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in First OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in First Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Bancshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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