Federated Hermes Fund Market Value
| FCBRX Fund | USD 6.22 0.02 0.32% |
| Symbol | Federated |
Federated Hermes 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Hermes' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Hermes.
| 12/13/2022 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federated Hermes on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Hermes or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Hermes over 720 days. Federated Hermes is related to or competes with Commonwealth Global, Ab Global, Scharf Global, Barings Global, 361 Global, Dreyfus/standish, and Alliancebernstein. The fund invests primarily in a diversified portfolio of U.S More
Federated Hermes Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Hermes' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Hermes upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.43) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4894 |
Federated Hermes Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Hermes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Hermes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Hermes historical prices to predict the future Federated Hermes' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4167 |
Federated Hermes Backtested Returns
Federated Hermes secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0556, which denotes the fund had a -0.0556% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Federated Hermes exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Federated Hermes' Mean Deviation of 0.2762, variance of 0.1257, and Standard Deviation of 0.3546 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0632, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Federated Hermes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Federated Hermes is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
Federated Hermes has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Hermes time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Hermes price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Federated Hermes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Federated Hermes lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Federated Hermes mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Hermes' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Hermes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Hermes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Federated Hermes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Hermes mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Hermes mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Hermes mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Federated Hermes Lagged Returns
When evaluating Federated Hermes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Hermes mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Hermes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Hermes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Hermes mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Hermes.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Hermes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Hermes security.
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