Forestar Group Stock Market Value
| FOR Stock | USD 26.02 0.16 0.62% |
| Symbol | Forestar |
Can Real Estate Management & Development industry sustain growth momentum? Does Forestar have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. Market participants price Forestar higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Forestar demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 3.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Forestar Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Forestar's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Forestar's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forestar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Forestar's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Forestar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Forestar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Forestar.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Forestar on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Forestar Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Forestar over 90 days. Forestar is related to or competes with KKR Real, Ellington Financial, Apollo Commercial, Smith Douglas, Innovative Industrial, Veris Residential, and Ladder Capital. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States More
Forestar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Forestar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Forestar Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 |
Forestar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forestar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Forestar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Forestar historical prices to predict the future Forestar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0095 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.001) |
Forestar January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0095 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.009 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 30553.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.001) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.23) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6517 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.16 |
Forestar Group Backtested Returns
Currently, Forestar Group is somewhat reliable. Forestar Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0221, which denotes the company had a 0.0221 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Forestar Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Forestar's Coefficient Of Variation of 30553.55, mean deviation of 1.89, and Downside Deviation of 2.17 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0528%. Forestar has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.71, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform. Forestar Group right now shows a risk of 2.4%. Please confirm Forestar Group skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Forestar Group will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.44 |
Average predictability
Forestar Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Forestar time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Forestar Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Forestar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.3 |
Pair Trading with Forestar
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Forestar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Forestar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Forestar Stock
| 0.51 | 600007 | China World Trade | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | 000609 | Beijing Mainstreets | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | CIC | Conygar Investment | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Forestar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Forestar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Forestar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Forestar Group to buy it.
The correlation of Forestar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Forestar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Forestar Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Forestar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.