1st Federal Savings Stock Market Value

FSGB Stock  USD 9.60  0.00  0.00%   
1st Federal's market value is the price at which a share of 1st Federal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 1st Federal Savings investors about its performance. 1st Federal is trading at 9.60 as of the 13th of December 2024, a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 1st Federal Savings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 1st Federal over a given investment horizon. Check out 1st Federal Correlation, 1st Federal Volatility and 1st Federal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 1st Federal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

1st Federal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 1st Federal's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 1st Federal.
0.00
11/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 1st Federal on November 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 1st Federal Savings or generate 0.0% return on investment in 1st Federal over 390 days. 1st Federal is related to or competes with Westrock Coffee, Old Republic, Biglari Holdings, Aspen Insurance, Texas Roadhouse, Cincinnati Financial, and ICC Holdings. 1st Federal Savings Bank of SC, Inc. provides various banking products and services More

1st Federal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 1st Federal's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 1st Federal Savings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

1st Federal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 1st Federal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 1st Federal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 1st Federal historical prices to predict the future 1st Federal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.609.609.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.609.609.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.609.609.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.609.609.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1st Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1st Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1st Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1st Federal Savings.

1st Federal Savings Backtested Returns

We have found three technical indicators for 1st Federal Savings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and 1st Federal are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

1st Federal Savings has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 1st Federal time series from 19th of November 2023 to 1st of June 2024 and 1st of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 1st Federal Savings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current 1st Federal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

1st Federal Savings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 1st Federal pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 1st Federal's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 1st Federal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 1st Federal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

1st Federal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 1st Federal pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 1st Federal pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 1st Federal pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

1st Federal Lagged Returns

When evaluating 1st Federal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 1st Federal pink sheet have on its future price. 1st Federal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 1st Federal autocorrelation shows the relationship between 1st Federal pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 1st Federal Savings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 1st Pink Sheet

1st Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1st Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1st with respect to the benefits of owning 1st Federal security.