1st Federal Savings Stock Market Value

FSGB Stock  USD 10.00  0.40  4.17%   
1st Federal's market value is the price at which a share of 1st Federal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 1st Federal Savings investors about its performance. 1st Federal is trading at 10.00 as of the 18th of January 2025, a 4.17 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 1st Federal Savings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 1st Federal over a given investment horizon. Check out 1st Federal Correlation, 1st Federal Volatility and 1st Federal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 1st Federal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

1st Federal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 1st Federal's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 1st Federal.
0.00
12/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/18/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 1st Federal on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 1st Federal Savings or generate 0.0% return on investment in 1st Federal over 30 days. 1st Federal is related to or competes with Fair Isaac, Bassett Furniture, Porvair Plc, Nyxoah, Ryanair Holdings, AerSale Corp, and Lincoln Electric. 1st Federal Savings Bank of SC, Inc. provides various banking products and services More

1st Federal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 1st Federal's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 1st Federal Savings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

1st Federal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 1st Federal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 1st Federal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 1st Federal historical prices to predict the future 1st Federal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4710.0010.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.379.9010.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1st Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1st Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1st Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1st Federal Savings.

1st Federal Savings Backtested Returns

At this point, 1st Federal is very steady. 1st Federal Savings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found nineteen technical indicators for 1st Federal Savings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm 1st Federal's mean deviation of 0.1243, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0966 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0683%. 1st Federal has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 1st Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 1st Federal is expected to be smaller as well. 1st Federal Savings right now shows a risk of 0.53%. Please confirm 1st Federal Savings kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if 1st Federal Savings will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

1st Federal Savings has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 1st Federal time series from 19th of December 2024 to 3rd of January 2025 and 3rd of January 2025 to 18th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 1st Federal Savings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current 1st Federal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

1st Federal Savings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 1st Federal pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 1st Federal's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 1st Federal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 1st Federal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

1st Federal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 1st Federal pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 1st Federal pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 1st Federal pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

1st Federal Lagged Returns

When evaluating 1st Federal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 1st Federal pink sheet have on its future price. 1st Federal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 1st Federal autocorrelation shows the relationship between 1st Federal pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 1st Federal Savings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 1st Pink Sheet

1st Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1st Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1st with respect to the benefits of owning 1st Federal security.