Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Market Value
| FSM Stock | USD 12.27 1.37 12.57% |
| Symbol | Fortuna |
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Fortuna diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. Market participants price Fortuna higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fortuna Silver data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.871 | Earnings Share 0.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.384 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Fortuna Silver Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fortuna Silver's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fortuna Silver's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fortuna Silver's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Fortuna Silver 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fortuna Silver's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fortuna Silver.
| 11/24/2025 |
| 02/22/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fortuna Silver on November 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fortuna Silver Mines or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fortuna Silver over 90 days. Fortuna Silver is related to or competes with Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, T Rowe, and Sitka Gold. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and mining of precious and base metal deposits in Arg... More
Fortuna Silver Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fortuna Silver's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fortuna Silver Mines upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1417 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.35 |
Fortuna Silver Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fortuna Silver's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fortuna Silver's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fortuna Silver historical prices to predict the future Fortuna Silver's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1309 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5161 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2759 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1311 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3204 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fortuna Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fortuna Silver February 22, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1309 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3304 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 621.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Variance | 17.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1417 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5161 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2759 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1311 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3204 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.21) | |||
| Skewness | (0.56) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.03 |
Fortuna Silver Mines Backtested Returns
Fortuna Silver appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Fortuna Silver Mines secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Fortuna Silver's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Fortuna Silver's Mean Deviation of 3.0, coefficient of variation of 621.05, and Downside Deviation of 4.51 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Fortuna Silver holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.06, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fortuna Silver will likely underperform. Please check Fortuna Silver's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Fortuna Silver's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.10 |
Insignificant predictability
Fortuna Silver Mines has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fortuna Silver time series from 24th of November 2025 to 8th of January 2026 and 8th of January 2026 to 22nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fortuna Silver Mines price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Fortuna Silver price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.28 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.48 |
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Fortuna Silver technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.