Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Market Outlook
| FSM Stock | USD 10.38 0.63 6.46% |
About 62% of all Fortuna Silver's investors are looking to take a long position. The current sentiment regarding investing in Fortuna Silver Mines stock implies that some traders are interested. Fortuna Silver's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Fortuna Silver Mines. Many technical investors use Fortuna Silver Mines stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 62
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Fortuna Silver's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Fortuna Silver Mines.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fortuna Silver Mines is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Fortuna Silver's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Fortuna Silver Advice
The Fortuna recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fortuna Silver Mines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fortuna Silver Mines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fortuna Silver's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Fortuna Silver Mines has a Mean Deviation of 2.55, Semi Deviation of 3.5, Standard Deviation of 3.55, Variance of 12.57, Downside Variance of 15.46 and Semi Variance of 12.22Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Fortuna Silver Mines and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Fortuna Silver is not overpriced, please confirm all Fortuna Silver Mines fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Fortuna Silver Mines has a number of shares shorted of 17.57 M, we urge you to verify Fortuna Silver Mines market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Fortuna Silver Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Fortuna Silver Mines had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fortuna Silver Mines is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fortuna Silver Mines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CIBC Upgrades Fortuna Silver Mines to Hold Rating, Raises Target Price to 11.73 - |
Fortuna Silver Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Fortuna Silver's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fortuna Silver's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fortuna Silver daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fortuna Silver Mines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fortuna Silver returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Fortuna Silver.
| Mean Return | 0.42 | Value At Risk | -4.62 | Potential Upside | 4.83 | Standard Deviation | 3.55 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fortuna Silver historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Fortuna Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Fortuna Silver, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortuna Silver Mines back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.4 M | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 4.5 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3.9 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 3.7 M | Amundi | 2025-06-30 | 3.6 M | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3.5 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3 M | Jane Street Group Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.8 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2025-06-30 | 20.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 13 M |
Fortuna Silver Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (24.8M) | (26.6M) | 47.0M | 103.2M | 118.7M | 124.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.2M) | (57.0M) | 81.1M | 161.9M | 186.2M | 195.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.3M | 164.6M | 147.5M | 99.4M | 114.3M | 120.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 152.3M | 251.2M | 221.3M | 203.8M | 234.3M | 246.1M | |
| Net Income | 59.4M | (135.9M) | (51.8M) | 128.7M | 148.0M | 155.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 107.1M | 80.5M | 127.5M | 231.3M | 266.0M | 279.3M | |
| Depreciation | 67.1M | 172.8M | 226.8M | 223.2M | 256.7M | 269.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | (23.8M) | (20.4M) | (21.4M) | (24.5M) | (22.0M) | (20.9M) | |
| Investments | 14K | (255.3M) | (238.7M) | (194.4M) | (175.0M) | (166.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (44.2M) | 47.8M | (31.6M) | (22.8M) | (20.6M) | (19.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 806K | 33.7M | 2.5M | 39.7M | 45.6M | 47.9M |
Fortuna Silver Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fortuna Silver or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fortuna Silver's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fortuna stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Fortuna Silver Volatility Alert
Fortuna Silver Mines shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fortuna Silver's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fortuna Silver's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Fortuna Silver Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Fortuna Silver's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fortuna Silver's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fortuna Silver and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fortuna Silver or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fortuna Silver's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortuna Silver by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Fortuna Silver to competition |
| Fundamentals | Fortuna Silver | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.64 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.93 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 305.26 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 81.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 17.57 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 497.76 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 474.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 128.74 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 116.37 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 194.01 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 365.68 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.89 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 14.0 | |
| Beta | 1.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.39 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.12 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 216.38 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 230.21 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 128.04 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 34.15 M | 7.9 B |
Fortuna Silver Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fortuna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Fortuna Silver Target Price Consensus
Fortuna target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Fortuna Silver's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 5 | Buy |
Most Fortuna analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Fortuna stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Fortuna Silver Mines, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationFortuna Silver Target Price Projection
Fortuna Silver's current and average target prices are 10.38 and 14.00, respectively. The current price of Fortuna Silver is the price at which Fortuna Silver Mines is currently trading. On the other hand, Fortuna Silver's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Fortuna Silver Market Quote on 10th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Fortuna Silver Target Price
Fortuna Silver Analyst Ratings
Fortuna Silver's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Fortuna Silver stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Fortuna Silver's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Fortuna Silver's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Fortuna Silver Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Fortuna Silver Mines? Buying financial instruments such as Fortuna Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Fortuna Silver in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Volatility ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Volatility ETFs theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Volatility ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Fortuna Silver Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Fortuna diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. Market participants price Fortuna higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fortuna Silver data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.352 | Earnings Share 0.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.383 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Fortuna Silver Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fortuna Silver's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fortuna Silver's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fortuna Silver's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.