Federal Signal Stock Market Value
| FSS Stock | USD 117.54 0.71 0.60% |
| Symbol | Federal |
Is there potential for Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment market expansion? Will Federal introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Signal. Market participants price Federal higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Federal Signal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.276 | Dividend Share 0.54 | Earnings Share 3.82 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 |
Investors evaluate Federal Signal using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Federal Signal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Federal Signal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Signal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Signal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Federal Signal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Federal Signal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federal Signal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federal Signal.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federal Signal on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federal Signal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federal Signal over 90 days. Federal Signal is related to or competes with Zurn Elkay, ESAB Corp, Moog, Toro, Ryder System, Ryanair Holdings, and Simpson Manufacturing. Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and ... More
Federal Signal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federal Signal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federal Signal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0344 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 |
Federal Signal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federal Signal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federal Signal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federal Signal historical prices to predict the future Federal Signal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0571 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0438 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0193 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0355 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0739 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Signal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Signal February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0571 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0839 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1507.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0344 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0438 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0193 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0355 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0739 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0848 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.342 |
Federal Signal Backtested Returns
Currently, Federal Signal is very steady. Federal Signal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0979, which denotes the company had a 0.0979 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Federal Signal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Federal Signal's Coefficient Of Variation of 1507.38, downside deviation of 1.42, and Mean Deviation of 1.16 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Federal Signal has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.18, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Signal will likely underperform. Federal Signal right now shows a risk of 1.46%. Please confirm Federal Signal standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Federal Signal will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.02 |
Virtually no predictability
Federal Signal has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federal Signal time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federal Signal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Federal Signal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.4 |
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Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.