Federal Signal Stock Technical Analysis
| FSS Stock | USD 118.44 1.69 1.45% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, Federal Signal shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 1793.31, downside deviation of 1.43, and Mean Deviation of 1.19. Federal Signal technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Federal Signal standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Federal Signal is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 118.44 per share. Given that Federal Signal has jensen alpha of (0.02), we urge you to verify Federal Signal's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Federal Signal Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Federal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FederalFederal Signal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Federal Signal Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 133.83 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most Federal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Federal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Federal Signal, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Federal conference calls.
Is there potential for Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment market expansion? Will Federal introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Signal. Market participants price Federal higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Federal Signal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.276 | Dividend Share 0.54 | Earnings Share 3.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 |
Investors evaluate Federal Signal using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Federal Signal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Federal Signal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Signal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Signal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Federal Signal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Federal Signal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federal Signal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federal Signal.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federal Signal on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federal Signal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federal Signal over 90 days. Federal Signal is related to or competes with Zurn Elkay, ESAB Corp, Moog, Toro, Ryder System, Ryanair Holdings, and Simpson Manufacturing. Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and ... More
Federal Signal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federal Signal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federal Signal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 |
Federal Signal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federal Signal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federal Signal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federal Signal historical prices to predict the future Federal Signal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0493 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0618 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Signal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Signal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0493 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1793.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0891 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1621 |
Federal Signal Backtested Returns
Currently, Federal Signal is very steady. Federal Signal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0898, which denotes the company had a 0.0898 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Federal Signal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Federal Signal's Coefficient Of Variation of 1793.31, mean deviation of 1.19, and Downside Deviation of 1.43 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Federal Signal has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.18, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Signal will likely underperform. Federal Signal right now shows a risk of 1.5%. Please confirm Federal Signal maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Federal Signal will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Federal Signal has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federal Signal time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federal Signal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Federal Signal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.69 |
Federal Signal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Federal Signal Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Federal Signal across different markets.
About Federal Signal Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Federal Signal on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Signal based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Federal Signal price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Federal Signal. By analyzing Federal Signal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Federal Signal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Federal Signal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005109 | 0.005207 | 0.005989 | 0.005689 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.7 | 3.02 | 2.72 | 2.86 |
Federal Signal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Federal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0493 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1793.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0618 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0891 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1621 |
Federal Signal February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5,666 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.62 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 117.24 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 117.64 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.05 |
Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.