Aberdeen Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

GEMRX Fund  USD 13.51  0.03  0.22%   
Aberdeen Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Aberdeen Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aberdeen Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Aberdeen Emerging is trading at 13.51 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.22% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aberdeen Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aberdeen Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Aberdeen Emerging Correlation, Aberdeen Emerging Volatility and Aberdeen Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aberdeen Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aberdeen Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberdeen Emerging.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aberdeen Emerging on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberdeen Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberdeen Emerging over 30 days. Aberdeen Emerging is related to or competes with T Rowe, Pace Large, Upright Assets, Dodge Cox, T Rowe, Pace Large, and Washington Mutual. The fund invests primarily in common stocks, but may also invest in other types of equity securities, including, but not... More

Aberdeen Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberdeen Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aberdeen Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberdeen Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberdeen Emerging historical prices to predict the future Aberdeen Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5513.6014.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6313.6814.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3013.3514.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5513.5813.62
Details

Aberdeen Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Aberdeen Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0038, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0038% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Aberdeen Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aberdeen Emerging's risk adjusted performance of (0), and Mean Deviation of 0.7685 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.065, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aberdeen Emerging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aberdeen Emerging is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Aberdeen Emerging Markets has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberdeen Emerging time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberdeen Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Aberdeen Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Aberdeen Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberdeen Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberdeen Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aberdeen Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Aberdeen Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberdeen Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberdeen Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberdeen Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Emerging security.
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