Guardforce Ai Co Stock Market Value
| GRDAF Stock | USD 0.06 0 2.96% |
| Symbol | Guardforce |
Guardforce 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardforce's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardforce.
| 01/16/2024 |
| 01/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guardforce on January 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardforce AI Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardforce over 720 days. Guardforce is related to or competes with American Biltrite. Grounded Lithium Corp is a lithium brine exploration company in Western Canada More
Guardforce Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardforce's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardforce AI Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 13.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0709 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 73.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (17.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 35.69 |
Guardforce Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardforce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardforce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardforce historical prices to predict the future Guardforce's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0631 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.12 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0764 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.89) |
Guardforce AI Backtested Returns
Guardforce is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Guardforce AI holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0847, which attests that the entity had a 0.0847 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.2% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Guardforce AI Co market risk adjusted performance of (0.88), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0631 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Guardforce holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.18, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guardforce are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Guardforce is expected to outperform it. Use Guardforce AI Co semi deviation, sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to analyze future returns on Guardforce AI Co.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
Guardforce AI Co has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardforce time series from 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025 and 10th of January 2025 to 5th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardforce AI price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Guardforce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Guardforce AI lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guardforce pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardforce's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardforce returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardforce has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guardforce regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardforce pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardforce pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardforce pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guardforce Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guardforce's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardforce pink sheet have on its future price. Guardforce autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardforce autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardforce pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardforce AI Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Guardforce Pink Sheet
When determining whether Guardforce AI is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guardforce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guardforce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guardforce Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:Check out Guardforce Correlation, Guardforce Volatility and Guardforce Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guardforce. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Guardforce technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.