Heritage Global Stock Market Value

HGBL Stock  USD 1.72  0.06  3.61%   
Heritage Global's market value is the price at which a share of Heritage Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Heritage Global investors about its performance. Heritage Global is selling for 1.72 as of the 27th of November 2024. This is a 3.61 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Heritage Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Heritage Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Heritage Global Correlation, Heritage Global Volatility and Heritage Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heritage Global.
For more information on how to buy Heritage Stock please use our How to buy in Heritage Stock guide.
Symbol

Heritage Global Price To Book Ratio

Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Global. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
1.361
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.33)
Return On Assets
0.066
The market value of Heritage Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Heritage Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heritage Global's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heritage Global.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Heritage Global on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heritage Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heritage Global over 30 days. Heritage Global is related to or competes with Scully Royalty, Mercurity Fintech, Donnelley Financial, Oppenheimer Holdings, Nomura Holdings, Piper Sandler, and Houlihan Lokey. Heritage Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset services company with focus on financial and... More

Heritage Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heritage Global's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heritage Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Heritage Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heritage Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heritage Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heritage Global historical prices to predict the future Heritage Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.724.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.162.635.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.744.21
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.165.676.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Heritage Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Heritage Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Heritage Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Heritage Global.

Heritage Global Backtested Returns

As of now, Heritage Stock is relatively risky. Heritage Global holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0432, which attests that the entity had a 0.0432% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Heritage Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Heritage Global's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), market risk adjusted performance of (0.52), and Standard Deviation of 2.74 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Heritage Global has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.24, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Heritage Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Heritage Global is expected to be smaller as well. Heritage Global right now retains a risk of 2.47%. Please check out Heritage Global skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Heritage Global will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

Heritage Global has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heritage Global time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heritage Global price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Heritage Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Heritage Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Heritage Global stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Heritage Global's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Heritage Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Heritage Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Heritage Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Heritage Global stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Heritage Global stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Heritage Global stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Heritage Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Heritage Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Heritage Global stock have on its future price. Heritage Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Heritage Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Heritage Global stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Heritage Global.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Heritage Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze Heritage Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Heritage Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Heritage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Heritage Global Correlation, Heritage Global Volatility and Heritage Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heritage Global.
For more information on how to buy Heritage Stock please use our How to buy in Heritage Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Heritage Global technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Heritage Global technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Heritage Global trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...