Hennessy Japan Fund Market Value

HJPIX Fund  USD 45.92  0.34  0.73%   
Hennessy Japan's market value is the price at which a share of Hennessy Japan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hennessy Japan Fund investors about its performance. Hennessy Japan is trading at 45.92 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.73 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 46.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hennessy Japan Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hennessy Japan over a given investment horizon. Check out Hennessy Japan Correlation, Hennessy Japan Volatility and Hennessy Japan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hennessy Japan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hennessy Japan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hennessy Japan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hennessy Japan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hennessy Japan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hennessy Japan's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hennessy Japan.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hennessy Japan on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hennessy Japan Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hennessy Japan over 90 days. Hennessy Japan is related to or competes with Hennessy Japan, Hennessy Japan, Matthews Japan, Matthews India, and Hennessy Japan. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in eq... More

Hennessy Japan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hennessy Japan's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hennessy Japan Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hennessy Japan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hennessy Japan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hennessy Japan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hennessy Japan historical prices to predict the future Hennessy Japan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.4145.9247.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.9642.4750.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.7445.2646.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.5745.6146.66
Details

Hennessy Japan Backtested Returns

Hennessy Japan holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0301, which attests that the entity had a -0.0301% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hennessy Japan exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hennessy Japan's Standard Deviation of 1.51, market risk adjusted performance of 0.8371, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0671, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hennessy Japan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hennessy Japan is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Hennessy Japan Fund has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hennessy Japan time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hennessy Japan price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Hennessy Japan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.69

Hennessy Japan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hennessy Japan mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hennessy Japan's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hennessy Japan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hennessy Japan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Japan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hennessy Japan mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hennessy Japan mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hennessy Japan mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Japan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hennessy Japan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hennessy Japan mutual fund have on its future price. Hennessy Japan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hennessy Japan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hennessy Japan mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hennessy Japan Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in HENNESSY Mutual Fund

Hennessy Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether HENNESSY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HENNESSY with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Japan security.
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