Herc Holdings Stock Market Value
| HRI Stock | USD 208.35 4.61 2.26% |
| Symbol | Herc |
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Herc Holdings. If investors know Herc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Herc Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Herc Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Herc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Herc Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Herc Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Herc Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Herc Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Herc Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Herc Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Herc Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Herc Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Herc Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Herc Holdings.
| 11/01/2024 |
| 01/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Herc Holdings on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Herc Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Herc Holdings over 90 days. Herc Holdings is related to or competes with McGrath RentCorp, Alta Equipment, Custom Truck, GATX, HE Equipment, PROG Holdings, and Air Lease. Herc Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internat... More
Herc Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Herc Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Herc Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.17 |
Herc Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Herc Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Herc Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Herc Holdings historical prices to predict the future Herc Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0411 |
Herc Holdings Backtested Returns
Herc Holdings is very steady at the moment. Herc Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0154, which attests that the entity had a 0.0154 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Herc Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Herc Holdings' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0511, downside deviation of 2.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0199 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0432%. Herc Holdings has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.81, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Herc Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Herc Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Herc Holdings right now retains a risk of 2.8%. Please check out Herc Holdings value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Herc Holdings will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Herc Holdings has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Herc Holdings time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of December 2024 and 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Herc Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Herc Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 88.95 |
Herc Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Herc Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Herc Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Herc Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Herc Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Herc Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Herc Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Herc Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Herc Holdings stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Herc Holdings Lagged Returns
When evaluating Herc Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Herc Holdings stock have on its future price. Herc Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Herc Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Herc Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Herc Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Herc Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Herc Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Herc Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Herc Holdings Stock:Check out Herc Holdings Correlation, Herc Holdings Volatility and Herc Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Herc Holdings. For more detail on how to invest in Herc Stock please use our How to Invest in Herc Holdings guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Herc Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.