Direxion Daily Junior Etf Market Value
| JNUG Etf | USD 45.38 1.55 3.54% |
| Symbol | Direxion |
The market value of Direxion Daily Junior is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Daily's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Daily's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Daily's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Daily's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Direxion Daily 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Direxion Daily's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Direxion Daily.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Direxion Daily on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Direxion Daily Junior or generate 0.0% return on investment in Direxion Daily over 30 days. Direxion Daily is related to or competes with Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, ETFs that trac... More
Direxion Daily Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Direxion Daily's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Direxion Daily Junior upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.81 |
Direxion Daily Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Direxion Daily's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Direxion Daily's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Direxion Daily historical prices to predict the future Direxion Daily's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0144 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.57) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0297 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Direxion Daily Junior Backtested Returns
At this point, Direxion Daily is very steady. Direxion Daily Junior secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0208, which denotes the etf had a 0.0208% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Direxion Daily Junior, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Direxion Daily's Coefficient Of Variation of 12561.18, downside deviation of 4.16, and Mean Deviation of 3.59 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0947%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.89, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Direxion Daily returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Direxion Daily is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Direxion Daily Junior has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Direxion Daily time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Direxion Daily Junior price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Direxion Daily price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 9.53 |
Direxion Daily Junior lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Direxion Daily etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Direxion Daily's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Direxion Daily returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Direxion Daily has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Direxion Daily regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Direxion Daily etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Direxion Daily etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Direxion Daily etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Direxion Daily Lagged Returns
When evaluating Direxion Daily's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Direxion Daily etf have on its future price. Direxion Daily autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Direxion Daily autocorrelation shows the relationship between Direxion Daily etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Direxion Daily Junior.
Regressed Prices |
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Direxion Daily Junior is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Volatility and Direxion Daily Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direxion Daily. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Direxion Daily technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.