Janus Trarian Fund Market Value

JSVAX Fund  USD 32.32  0.25  0.77%   
Janus Trarian's market value is the price at which a share of Janus Trarian trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Janus Trarian Fund investors about its performance. Janus Trarian is trading at 32.32 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.77 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 32.57.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Janus Trarian Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Janus Trarian over a given investment horizon. Check out Janus Trarian Correlation, Janus Trarian Volatility and Janus Trarian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Janus Trarian.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Janus Trarian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Janus Trarian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Janus Trarian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Janus Trarian 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Janus Trarian's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Janus Trarian.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Janus Trarian on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Janus Trarian Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Janus Trarian over 30 days. Janus Trarian is related to or competes with Janus Global, Janus Overseas, Janus Global, Janus Research, and Janus Global. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities with the potential for long-term growth of c... More

Janus Trarian Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Janus Trarian's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Janus Trarian Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Janus Trarian Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Janus Trarian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Janus Trarian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Janus Trarian historical prices to predict the future Janus Trarian's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.3232.3333.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.8931.9032.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.2032.2233.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.2832.2233.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Janus Trarian. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Janus Trarian's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Janus Trarian's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Janus Trarian.

Janus Trarian Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Janus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Janus Trarian holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Janus Trarian, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Janus Trarian's Downside Deviation of 1.02, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1456, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.126 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.12, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Janus Trarian returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Janus Trarian is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Janus Trarian Fund has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Janus Trarian time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Janus Trarian price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Janus Trarian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

Janus Trarian lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Janus Trarian mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Janus Trarian's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Janus Trarian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Janus Trarian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Janus Trarian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Janus Trarian mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Janus Trarian mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Janus Trarian mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Janus Trarian Lagged Returns

When evaluating Janus Trarian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Janus Trarian mutual fund have on its future price. Janus Trarian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Janus Trarian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Janus Trarian mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Janus Trarian Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Trarian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Trarian security.
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