Lions Gate (Germany) Market Value

LGNB Stock  EUR 6.95  0.05  0.71%   
Lions Gate's market value is the price at which a share of Lions Gate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lions Gate Entertainment investors about its performance. Lions Gate is trading at 6.95 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a 0.71% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lions Gate Entertainment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lions Gate over a given investment horizon. Check out Lions Gate Correlation, Lions Gate Volatility and Lions Gate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lions Gate.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lions Gate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lions Gate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lions Gate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lions Gate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lions Gate's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lions Gate.
0.00
12/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lions Gate on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lions Gate Entertainment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lions Gate over 360 days. Lions Gate is related to or competes with Wizz Air, DELTA AIR, Lion One, and Perseus Mining. Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. engages in motion picture production and distribution, television programming and syndica... More

Lions Gate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lions Gate's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lions Gate Entertainment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lions Gate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lions Gate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lions Gate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lions Gate historical prices to predict the future Lions Gate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.696.959.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.456.718.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.937.199.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.226.717.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lions Gate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lions Gate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lions Gate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lions Gate Entertainment.

Lions Gate Entertainment Backtested Returns

Lions Gate appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Lions Gate Entertainment has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0876, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0876% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Lions Gate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Lions Gate's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0777, downside deviation of 2.09, and Mean Deviation of 1.61 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Lions Gate holds a performance score of 6. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.52, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lions Gate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lions Gate is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Lions Gate's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Lions Gate's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Lions Gate Entertainment has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lions Gate time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lions Gate Entertainment price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Lions Gate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Lions Gate Entertainment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lions Gate stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lions Gate's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lions Gate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lions Gate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lions Gate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lions Gate stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lions Gate stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lions Gate stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lions Gate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lions Gate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lions Gate stock have on its future price. Lions Gate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lions Gate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lions Gate stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lions Gate Entertainment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Lions Stock

Lions Gate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lions Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lions with respect to the benefits of owning Lions Gate security.