Lynas Rare Earths Stock Market Value
| LYSCF Stock | USD 4.41 0.06 1.38% |
| Symbol | Lynas |
Lynas Rare 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lynas Rare's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lynas Rare.
| 05/31/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Lynas Rare on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lynas Rare Earths or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lynas Rare over 180 days. Lynas Rare is related to or competes with Aclara Resources, Boliden AB, Ucore Rare, Texas Rare, and Alphamin Resources. Lynas Rare Earths Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, extraction, ... More
Lynas Rare Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lynas Rare's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lynas Rare Earths upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.04 |
Lynas Rare Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lynas Rare's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lynas Rare's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lynas Rare historical prices to predict the future Lynas Rare's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.000023) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lynas Rare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lynas Rare Earths Backtested Returns
Lynas Rare Earths has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0423, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0423% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lynas Rare exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lynas Rare's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.000023), standard deviation of 2.26, and Mean Deviation of 1.74 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.71, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lynas Rare's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lynas Rare is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lynas Rare Earths has a negative expected return of -0.0947%. Please make sure to verify Lynas Rare's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Lynas Rare Earths performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Lynas Rare Earths has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lynas Rare time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lynas Rare Earths price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Lynas Rare price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.1 |
Lynas Rare Earths lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Lynas Rare pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lynas Rare's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lynas Rare returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lynas Rare has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Lynas Rare regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lynas Rare pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lynas Rare pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lynas Rare pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Lynas Rare Lagged Returns
When evaluating Lynas Rare's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lynas Rare pink sheet have on its future price. Lynas Rare autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lynas Rare autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lynas Rare pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lynas Rare Earths.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Lynas Pink Sheet
Lynas Rare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lynas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lynas with respect to the benefits of owning Lynas Rare security.