Marks (Germany) Market Value

MA6 Stock  EUR 4.75  0.02  0.42%   
Marks' market value is the price at which a share of Marks trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marks and Spencer investors about its performance. Marks is trading at 4.75 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 0.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marks and Spencer and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marks over a given investment horizon. Check out Marks Correlation, Marks Volatility and Marks Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marks.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Marks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marks 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marks' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marks.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marks on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marks and Spencer or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marks over 90 days. Marks is related to or competes with STRAYER EDUCATION, Sportsmans Warehouse, JD SPORTS, PLAY2CHILL, Strategic Education, and EMBARK EDUCATION. The company offers protein deli and dairy produce ambient and in-store bakery meals dessert and frozen and hospitality a... More

Marks Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marks' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marks and Spencer upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marks Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marks' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marks' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marks historical prices to predict the future Marks' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.884.746.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.804.666.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.074.926.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.704.764.82
Details

Marks and Spencer Backtested Returns

Marks appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Marks and Spencer has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Marks, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Marks' Downside Deviation of 1.67, mean deviation of 1.42, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0883 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Marks holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.68, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marks' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marks is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Marks' treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Marks' current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Marks and Spencer has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marks time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marks and Spencer price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Marks price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Marks and Spencer lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marks stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marks' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marks returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marks has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marks regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marks stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marks stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marks stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marks Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marks' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marks stock have on its future price. Marks autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marks autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marks stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marks and Spencer.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Marks Stock

Marks financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marks Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marks with respect to the benefits of owning Marks security.