Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Market Value
| MPC Stock | USD 195.29 2.47 1.28% |
| Symbol | Marathon |
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Marathon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. Expected growth trajectory for Marathon significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Marathon Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.51 | Dividend Share 3.82 | Earnings Share 13.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Marathon Petroleum's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marathon Petroleum represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Marathon Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Marathon Petroleum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marathon Petroleum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marathon Petroleum.
| 11/27/2025 |
| 02/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Marathon Petroleum on November 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marathon Petroleum Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marathon Petroleum over 90 days. Marathon Petroleum is related to or competes with Phillips, Valero Energy, Kinder Morgan, Eni SPA, Equinor ASA, Energy Transfer, and EOG Resources. Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company prim... More
Marathon Petroleum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marathon Petroleum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marathon Petroleum Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 |
Marathon Petroleum Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marathon Petroleum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marathon Petroleum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marathon Petroleum historical prices to predict the future Marathon Petroleum's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0073 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) |
Marathon Petroleum February 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0073 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.001 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 72363.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | 0.43 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.64 |
Marathon Petroleum Corp Backtested Returns
At this point, Marathon Petroleum is very steady. Marathon Petroleum Corp has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0208, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0208 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Marathon Petroleum, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Marathon Petroleum's Mean Deviation of 1.43, risk adjusted performance of 0.0073, and Downside Deviation of 1.93 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0435%. Marathon Petroleum has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.79, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marathon Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marathon Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Marathon Petroleum Corp right now secures a risk of 2.09%. Please verify Marathon Petroleum Corp semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Marathon Petroleum Corp will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.81 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Marathon Petroleum Corp has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marathon Petroleum time series from 27th of November 2025 to 11th of January 2026 and 11th of January 2026 to 25th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marathon Petroleum Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Marathon Petroleum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.65 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 151.75 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Marathon Petroleum Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock:Check out Marathon Petroleum Correlation, Marathon Petroleum Volatility and Marathon Petroleum Performance module to complement your research on Marathon Petroleum. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Marathon Petroleum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.