Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Market Value

MPC Stock  USD 176.19  0.45  0.26%   
Marathon Petroleum's market value is the price at which a share of Marathon Petroleum trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marathon Petroleum Corp investors about its performance. Marathon Petroleum is trading at 176.19 as of the 30th of January 2026, a 0.26% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 175.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marathon Petroleum Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marathon Petroleum over a given investment horizon. Check out Marathon Petroleum Correlation, Marathon Petroleum Volatility and Marathon Petroleum Performance module to complement your research on Marathon Petroleum.
Symbol

Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Marathon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. Expected growth trajectory for Marathon significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Marathon Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.412
Dividend Share
3.73
Earnings Share
9.4
Revenue Per Share
430.906
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Marathon Petroleum's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marathon Petroleum represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Marathon Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Marathon Petroleum 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marathon Petroleum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marathon Petroleum.
0.00
11/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/30/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marathon Petroleum on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marathon Petroleum Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marathon Petroleum over 90 days. Marathon Petroleum is related to or competes with Phillips, Valero Energy, Kinder Morgan, Eni SPA, Equinor ASA, Energy Transfer, and EOG Resources. Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company prim... More

Marathon Petroleum Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marathon Petroleum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marathon Petroleum Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marathon Petroleum Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marathon Petroleum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marathon Petroleum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marathon Petroleum historical prices to predict the future Marathon Petroleum's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
173.77175.74177.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
147.81149.78193.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
163.07165.04167.01
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
177.30194.83216.26
Details

Marathon Petroleum January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators

Marathon Petroleum Corp Backtested Returns

Marathon Petroleum Corp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0736, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0736 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Marathon Petroleum exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Marathon Petroleum's Mean Deviation of 1.39, standard deviation of 1.93, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.35, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marathon Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marathon Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Marathon Petroleum Corp has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify Marathon Petroleum's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Marathon Petroleum Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.4  

Poor reverse predictability

Marathon Petroleum Corp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marathon Petroleum time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marathon Petroleum Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Marathon Petroleum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance26.67

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When determining whether Marathon Petroleum Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock:
Check out Marathon Petroleum Correlation, Marathon Petroleum Volatility and Marathon Petroleum Performance module to complement your research on Marathon Petroleum.
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Marathon Petroleum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Marathon Petroleum technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Marathon Petroleum trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...