Morgan Stanley Preferred Stock Market Value

MS-PO Preferred Stock  USD 19.41  0.23  1.20%   
Morgan Stanley's market value is the price at which a share of Morgan Stanley trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Morgan Stanley investors about its performance. Morgan Stanley is selling at 19.41 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 1.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 19.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Morgan Stanley and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Morgan Stanley over a given investment horizon. Check out Morgan Stanley Correlation, Morgan Stanley Volatility and Morgan Stanley Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Morgan Stanley.
To learn how to invest in Morgan Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Morgan Stanley guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Morgan Stanley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Morgan Stanley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Morgan Stanley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Morgan Stanley 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morgan Stanley's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morgan Stanley.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Morgan Stanley on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morgan Stanley or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morgan Stanley over 30 days. Morgan Stanley is related to or competes with Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo. Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governmen... More

Morgan Stanley Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morgan Stanley's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morgan Stanley upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Morgan Stanley Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morgan Stanley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morgan Stanley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morgan Stanley historical prices to predict the future Morgan Stanley's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3719.4120.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4917.5321.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.2319.2720.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8219.2519.69
Details

Morgan Stanley Backtested Returns

As of now, Morgan Preferred Stock is very steady. Morgan Stanley has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0185, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0185% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Morgan Stanley, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Morgan Stanley's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0117, downside deviation of 1.18, and Mean Deviation of 0.6932 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0194%. Morgan Stanley has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0103, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Morgan Stanley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Morgan Stanley is likely to outperform the market. Morgan Stanley right now secures a risk of 1.05%. Please verify Morgan Stanley value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Morgan Stanley will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Morgan Stanley has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morgan Stanley time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morgan Stanley price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Morgan Stanley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Morgan Stanley lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Morgan Stanley preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Morgan Stanley's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Morgan Stanley returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Morgan Stanley has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Morgan Stanley regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Morgan Stanley preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Morgan Stanley preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Morgan Stanley preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Morgan Stanley Lagged Returns

When evaluating Morgan Stanley's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Morgan Stanley preferred stock have on its future price. Morgan Stanley autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Morgan Stanley autocorrelation shows the relationship between Morgan Stanley preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Morgan Stanley.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Morgan Stanley

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Morgan Stanley position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Morgan Stanley will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Morgan Preferred Stock

  0.69OPY Oppenheimer HoldingsPairCorr
  0.63MRX Marex Group plcPairCorr
  0.59NMR Nomura Holdings ADRPairCorr
  0.58FUFU BitFuFu Class APairCorr
  0.55GS Goldman Sachs Group Fiscal Year End 21st of January 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Morgan Stanley could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Morgan Stanley when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Morgan Stanley - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Morgan Stanley to buy it.
The correlation of Morgan Stanley is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Morgan Stanley moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Morgan Stanley moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Morgan Stanley can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Morgan Preferred Stock

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.